Indian Market Goes Range Bound Post Positive Opening Uptrend On Cues From Allied Market

Indian market today morning saw major indices open on positive note with pre-open market indicating bullish performance for the day. Nifty futures in international market continued to move range bound similar to Nifty index performance during yesterday’s trading session. While Nifty futures in Singapore exchange traded uptrend ahead of Indian market hours reaching as high as 10294, the momentum started to slow down as trading session began for the day in Indian market and is currently trading flat.

Pre-open market saw Sensex gain over 50 points, Nifty above 10200 and the uptrend movement continued for the first 15 mins of trading session , however influence on market momentum from Asian markets that began trading ahead of us on bearish trend caused Indian market to go range bound. Sensex rose over 100 points during the first 15 mins, however both major indices turned range bound with Nifty and Sensex trading near flat seeing over 0.04% decrease in value. Nifty is currently at 10185.45 as 26 of top 50 nifty stocks trade downtrend.

Nifty index chart saw two bear hammers and downtrend stepping stone pattern in 1 min candle chart indicating further downtrend momentum as trading session progresses further into the day. Expected support and resistance for Nifty for the day are at 10100 & 10250 respectively.

Source : Economic Times Website

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PSU Bank & Realty Sector Stocks Drag Market Downtrend AT E.O.D

Indian market today saw major indices move downtrend across majority of the day. Both Nifty & Sensex closed red with over 0.40% decrease in value and losing out on all gains made during intraday during later half of trading session. PSU bank, Realty, Metal & Pharma sector stocks faced steep downtrend movement with respective sectorial indices losing over 1% at E.O.D as per NSE data. Nifty closed for the day at 10192.95 with 0.46% decrease in value as 36 of top 50 nifty stocks traded downtrend. Top Nifty gainers and losers for the day are Hindustan petroleum, BPCL & IOC with 2.18%, 1.68% & 1.53% increase in value and Vedanta Ltd, Cipla & Adani Ports with 3.12%, 2.05% & 1.86% decrease in value respectively.

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Nifty Breaks Below 10200 Level, Heavy Selling Pressure in PSU Banks Stocks

The key benchmark index Nifty broke the key support level at 10200-10190 level as heavy selling in PSU Banks. metals and infrastructure stocks. The Nifty is trading 0.6 percent or 61 points lower at 10168 level with over 100 points movement in the day. The India VIX is now at the high point of the day at 16.23 level, up by 6.33 percent indicating of extreme volatility.

The immediate support for the Nifty is at 10080 level with 10200 to be a resistance for the market. The Nifty is likely to bottom out around at 10000 level. The technical analysis of Nifty has given a similar picture of the today’s session.

Stocks which pulled the Nifty down are Vedanta, ICICI Bank, Tata Steel, Cipla, Adani Ports, SBIN. The NSE Advance-Decline ratio stands at 489 advances against 1194 declines with 306 unchanged.

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Market Update: Market Reverse Losses But Still on the Weaker Side

The Nifty is trading above the crucial 10250 level with gains of 0.48 percent around 10290 level. The market is more likely to have a pullback prior to the close or at the start of tomorrow’s session. The volatility index (India VIX) during the day has surged over by 5 percent ans is currently up by 2.21 percent at 14.92 level.

The market will largely be impacted by the global factors in tomorrow’s session as US Federal Reserve announces it rate hike policy. A hawkish outlook will send the US Indices to record high level which can impact the Indian equity market for short-term. The outflow of funds to US market from Indian market by foreign investors could lead the market to correct a bit.

Today’s recovery in the market was supported by oil and gas shares, Auto, Banks and Pharma sector. Top gainers in Nifty are Kotak Bank, IOCL, BPCL, HPCL and Ultratech Cement. The NSE Advance-Decline ratio stands at 912 advances against 743 declines with 333 unchanged.

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Media & Energy Sector Stocks Are Top Gainers At Intra-Day

Market today morning saw major indices take a change in momentum. Both Nifty & Sensex which were trading range bound in first hour of trading session changed momentum as session progressed further into the day. Sensex rose over 130 points while Nifty saw 0.42% increase in value and is currently at 10278.40 as 36 of top 50 stocks trade uptrend. This uptrend momentum is strongly supported by bullish performance from Media & Energy sector stocks. Top Nifty gainers and losers for the morning session are Hindustan Petroleum, Kotak Bank & BPCL with 2.30%, 2.14% & 2.04% increase in value and HCL Tech, ICICI bank & Vedanta Ltd with 1.30%, 0.98% & 0.94% decrease in value respectively.

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Bulls To Look Out For The Day : DIC India, Prabhat Dairy, GM Breweries, AVT Natural Products & Star Paper Mills

Indian market today morning has taken mixed momentum on major indices. While market opened for the day on bearish note major indices have taken to range bound momentum as bulls and bears wage war over control of market momentum. Both Nifty and Sensex are currently trading near flat in uptrend movement on respective index charts. Media, Energy, IT & Auto sector stocks provide strong support for bullish market momentum so far.

Aside from top Nifty stocks, these stocks are expected to make uptrend movement across the day. The stocks and their current change in value are :

  1. DIC India Ltd – 16.53% NSE / 16.55% BSE
  2. Prabhat Dairy Ltd – 13.79% NSE / 13.76% BSE
  3. G M Breweries Ltd – 12.10% NSE / 12.10% BSE
  4. AVT Natural Products Ltd – 13.41% NSE / 12.96% BSE
  5. Star Paper Mills Ltd – 10.20% NSE / 10.03% BSE

 

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Asian Markets Continue On Mixed Momentum Ahead Of Fed Rate Update

US stocks yesterday had a mixed closing as Brent Crude Hit $65 during trading session yesterday. This is the first time Oil price reached this high since 2015. NASDAQ closed for the day with 0.19% decrease in value while S&P 500 & DOW 30 closed with 0.15% & 0.49% increase in value hitting record high closing, boosted by bank stocks as investors focused on a potential cut in U.S. corporate tax rates and continued strong economic growth. The Fed, whose two-day policy meeting ends today, is widely expected to raise its benchmark rate to between 1.25 and 1.50 percent.

The European Central Bank and the Bank of England will have policy announcements on Thursday, however neither is expected to change rates. European & UK markets closed uptrend for the day supported by bullish economic data with UK’s FTSE 100 seeing 0.63% increase in value on bullish CPI data and Europe’s EUROSTOXX 50 closed with 0.44% increase in value respectively. Asian stocks started off with mixed momentum on early trading session today morning following overnight gains on Wall Street. NIKKEI 225, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE & FTSE STI are trading with 0.46%, 0.08% & 0.37% decrease in value while HANG SENG, FTSE CHINA A50 and KOSPI are trading with 0.42%, 0.06% & 0.52% increase in value respectively.

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Indian market Opens Near Flat On Caution Over Fed Meet

Indian market today opened on a flat note on Nifty & Sensex. Consumer price index data for Nov’17 was at 4.88% this data has seen steady uptrend incline in last six months while Industrial output for Oct’17 was at 2.2% the lowest in three months. This along with Fed interest rate decision which is to be released later today has put heavy pressure on market. Investors chose to remain cautious and see how the outcome affects market. Nifty pre-open saw index move as high as 10300 but soon fell to 10236.60 and Nifty futures in international market traded downtrend ahead of Indian market hours indicating a negative start for the day.Market is currently in grip of bears as indicated by downtrend pattern in Nifty index candle chart. Nifty index chart has continued to make multiple bearish indicators in chart such as bearish engulfing candles and bear hammers during the last two trading sessions indicating possibility of further downtrend movement.

Nifty on monday made first downtrend breakout on forming downtrend hammer around 9.35 AM at 10319 post which there was a trend reversal around 12 PM after index reached 10282 with index moving up the chart and closing for the day at 10322.Nifty opened near flat on Tuesday on influence from international markets moving downtrend and within minutes after trading session began the index made its first bearish engulfing at 10324. The index continued to move downtrend until it made second bearish engulfing at 10280 around 12 PM and another breakout on third and final bearish engulfing candle pattern for the day at 10266 around 2.45 PM and closed at 10240.15.

Nifty index was near flat today morning on pre-open over mixed economic data and cautious stand from investor who await Fed meet update, however the index opened bearish at 10236.60 and hit as low as 10210 within the first minute of trading session there by creating the first bearish breakout and bearish engulfing candle as the first candle for the day. Nifty is expected to move further downtrend during today’s trading session with expected support and resistance at 10190 to 10160 point range and 10320 respectively. The data for bear candles during last two trading session is clearly visible in 5 min chart attached below.

Multiple Bearish engulfing and bear hammers during last two trading sessions – Source : MT4 Platforms ( Mcharts )

Nifty 1 min candle chart for the first hour of today’s trading session – Source : Economic Times website

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Hindustan Unilever (HUL) Technical View: 13th December

The stock of HUL has built a bearish pattern in the daily chart over the last two trading session in the market. On Monday’s session, the stock has formed a hammer like a pattern on the top of the daily chart, indicating the upcoming trend reversal in the counter. This was confirmed very next day, where the stock faced a continuous selling pressure and closed below the opening price.

The immediate support for the stock is at Rs 1290 which is also the 23.6 level in Fibonacci Retracement scale and the likely bottom of the correction is at 61.8 level which is Rs1230 level. Currently, the stock is in overbought condition as indicated in the stochastic oscillator.

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Pre-Open Market Moves: 13th December

The market is more likely to open negative in today’s session around the 10200 level. The Nifty futures in Singapore Exchange is trading marginally lower at 10248 level. The Asian markets are trading on a cautious note ahead of the outcome of the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting due later today.

The Indian domestic market is likely to remain under pressure during the day. The CPI Inflation has hit the 15 months high level of 4.88 percent in November and Industrial growth has declined to 2.2 percent during the October period. The Brent Crude touching the $65 level, a first since 2015 is also a negative sign for the economy which can affect the fiscal deficit situation of the economy.

The immediate support for Nifty is at 10200-10190 level and resistance is at 10320 level. For Bank Nifty, the support is at 25000-24800 level and resistance is at 25330-25450 level.

Stocks which will be in focus in today’s session are Bharti Airtel, Reliance, DLF, Yes Bank, Jubilant Foodworks.

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Nifty Technical Analysis: 13th December

The index broke significantly during the Tuesday’s session below the 10250 level as the 10320 level was massively resistive. It failed to cross above the short-term uptrend line, which it has broken with strong momentum in earlier sessions. The next support for the market will be at 10200 level and then around the 10030 level which is the acting as a floor of the market.

With CPI inflation rises to 15 months high level at 4.88 percent and slowdown of Industrial growth to 2.2 percent in October will weaken the sentiments of the market. Another major factor which will pull the market down will be the crude shock, which has touched $65, a first since 2015.

The daily stochastic is also in the overbought category, indicating of the upcoming downtrend movement. The 10000 Put and 10500 call is the most active in the options market. The market will be quite volatile in the remaining days of the week and ahead of the crucial Gujarat election results on Monday.

 

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Realty, FMCG, Infrastructure & Bank Drag Market On Steep Downtrend Movement At E.O.D

Indian market today afternoon session saw major indices continue its downtrend movement. Both Nifty & Sensex lost over 0.60% during today’s trading session. Sensex dropped over 200 points seeing 0.68% decrease in value while Nifty lost over 0.80% and closed for the day at 10240.15 as 37 of top 50 stocks traded downtrend. Realty, FMCG, Infrastructure & Bank sector stocks lost over 1% during today’s trading session as per NSE E.O.D data.  Top Nifty gainers and losers for the day are Dr. Reddy’s, ONGC & Adani ports with 2.83%, 2.77% & 2.37% increase in value and Hindustan Petroleum, Infratel & BPCL with 4.20%, 3.29%  & 3.02% decrease in value respectively.

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Metal & Pharma Stocks Are Top Gainers At Intra-Day

Indian market today morning took steady downtrend movement on major stocks across multiple sectors and on major indices. Nifty and Sensex saw over 0.40% decrease in value across today morning session. Nifty is currently at 10268.55 with 0.53% decrease in value as 33 of top 50 stocks trade downtrend. Metal & Pharma sector stocks are top gainers with over 0.15% increase in value. Top Nifty gainers and losers for the day are Dr. Reddy’s, Vedl & Gail with 3.52%, 2.52% & 2.38% increase in value and Hindustan Petroleum, BPCL & Infratel with 3.18%, 2.14% & 2.42% decrease in value respectively.

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Bulls To Look Out For The Day : Transwarranty Finance Ltd, Pudumjee Pulp & Paper Mills Ltd, Rupa & Company Ltd & Oil Country Tubular Ltd

Indian markets today morning has taken downtrend movement on major stocks across multiple sectors during the first hour of trading session. Metal, Medial, Pharma & Energy sectors have remained on uptrend movement so far. Bank, FMCG & Infrastructure are sectors with huge downtrend momentum during the first hours. NSE sectorial indices show over 0.70% decrease in value for stocks from Bank, FMCG & Infrastructure sectors. Nifty fell below 10290 during the first thirty minutes of trading session and has continued to move further down in index chart.

Aside from top Nifty/Sensex stocks, these stocks are expected to make bull run across the day. The stocks and their current change in value are :

  1. Transwarranty Finance Ltd – 19.81% NSE / 16.25% BSE
  2. Pudumjee Pulp & Paper Mills Ltd – 13.58% NSE / 14.89% BSE
  3. Rupa & Company Ltd – 9.66% NSE / 9.83% BSE
  4. Oil Country Tubular Ltd – 8.60% NSE / 9.01% BSE

 

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Asian Markets On Course Correction Post Three Consecutive Uptrend Session

US markets on monday saw its major indices close uptrend over gains from Tech & Energy shares. Major US indices NASDAQ, S&P 500 and DOW 30 closed for the day with 0.51%, 0.32% & 0.23% increase in value. Similarly UK’s FTSE 100 closed uptrend with 0.80% increase in value on optimism over Brexit proceedings, however bearish performance in major European markets like France & Germany led to major European index EUROSTOXX 50 closing with 0.25% decrease in value. Taking a look at Asian markets, Japanese stocks edged up on morning session in choppy trade supported by gains in financial stocks, mining shares and shippers.

However market remains directionless with range bound momentum mostly supportive of bears across the trading session as investors remain on the sidelines before the Fed’s two-day policy meeting ends on Wednesday, at which the central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates. With three consecutive sessions of market moving uptrend, major indices on important Asian markets such as Japan, Singapore and Hong Kong have turned to course correction since trading session began for the day. Major Indices such as NIKKEI 225, HANG SENG & FTSE STI are trading with 0.16%, 0.49% & 0.26% decrease in value respectively.

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Major Indices To Take Range Bound Movement Over Caution On Fed Meet

Indian markets saw bull momentum for three consecutive session on major indices, however market is expected to move range bound during today’s trading session. Nifty pre-open which started of in 10340 point level closed at 10325.05 with 0.03% increase in value and Nifty futures in international market is trading downtrend ahead of Indian market hours with 0.19% decrease in value indicating possibility of market opening flat and moving downtrend during morning trading session. Both local and foreign investors and majority of Promoters for major shares have taken a cautious stance as the two-day US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will begin today.

The central bank is likely to hike interest rates, which could be the third rate hike this year and investors wish to gauge possible outcome and impact of same on market from update on proceedings of FOMC meet, thus seeing a reduction in usual trading activity and a lack of news or major market driving factors in today’s trading session is expected to further support markets range bound movement. When looking at performance of Nifty futures in Singapore exchange ahead of Indian trading hours we can speculate on chance of index moving below 10300 during today’s trading session. Expected support and resistance for Nifty for the day are at 10280 and 10350 respectively.

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IT, Pharma & FMCG Are Top Gainers At E.O.D

Indian market today saw major indices take stable uptrend momentum on respective index charts. Sensex rose over 200 points near E.O.D closing with 0.60% increase in value while Nifty 50 closed for the day at 10322.25 with 0.55% increase in value as 32 of top 50 stocks traded uptrend at E.O.D. IT, Pharma & FMCG sector stocks were top gainers for the day with respective sectorial indices gaining over 0.90% in NSE. Nifty IT was top sectorial gainer with 1.35% increase in value.

Top Nifty gainers and losers for the day are Auro pharma, TCS & UPL with 2.74%, 2.63% &  2.47% increase in value and Infratel, NTPC & Asian Paints 1.50%, 1.50% & 0.70% decrease in value respectively.

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Market Tense Ahead of Key Domestic and Global Events

The India VIX ( volatility index) which gauges the state of fear in the market has surged by almost close to 6 percent in today’s session. At 2:35 PM, the index is at 14.15 level (up by 3.5 percent) which is around the highest in the three months time frame. The state of unease in the market is mostly due to mixed predictions in the exit poll of Gujarat assembly elections. It will largely impact the market in the longer time frame which up to the 2019 general elections. The index could move 0.5 percent in either direction depending upon the result.

The global factor which is also keeping investors on their toes is the FOMC meeting outcome coming this Wednesday. Lots of speculation in the market is going in for the 25 basis points rate hike by Federal Reserve within this end of this year. The strong job data number will also support rate hike proposal. A rate hike could move the US indices to new highs of the year before the end of this year.

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FMCG, Realty & Media Sector Stocks Are Top Gainers At Intra-Day

Indian market today morning session saw major indices take steady uptrend movement supported by favorable local economic conditions. Nifty and Sensex saw over 0.35% increase in value during morning trading session. Nifty is currently at 10303.10 in the index chart with 0.36% increase in value as 31 of top 50 nifty stocks trade uptrend. Nifty FMCG is top sectorial gainer for morning session as per data from NSE with 1.01% increase in value. Top Nifty gainers and losers for morning session are LUPIN, M&M , Ultra Tech Cement with 2.20%, 2.17% & 2.06% increase in value and Infratel, NTPC & ONGC with 1.24%, 1.22% & 1.08% decrease in value respectively.

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Maruti Suzuki Hits Fresh High After Upward Revision in Target Price by Morgan Stanley

The share of Maruti Suzuki has hit a new all-time high price of Rs 9167 in today’s session after global brokerage house Morgan Stanley raised the target price to Rs 10,563 from Rs 9102 previously. It has also retained the overweight call for the company. The Friday’s revision of target implies the 16.8 percent rise from the current level. It has maintained its forecast of 22 percent FY 18-20 EPS CAGR and in bull case, the brokerage house has set the target price of  Rs 14,400. Maruti Suzuki is the most profitable original equipment manufacturer (OEM) globally.

At 1:14 PM, the stock is trading 0.86 percent or Rs 77.75 higher at Rs 9120 level.

During the November period, the domestic passenger vehicle sales rose 14.29 percent to 2,75,417 units, according to data released by the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM). The two-wheeler sales came in at 15,35,277 units which is 23.49 percent higher compared to the same period year ago. And, CV space recorded a magnificent 50.43 percent jump in sales during the November period. The BSE Auto index has recorded a gain of 0.59 percent

In another development, TATA Motors has announced to hike passenger vehicle prices by Rs 25000 across categories due to rise in input costs. Tata Motors has also surpassed Honda to be the fourth largest car manufacturer in the country. The stock of Tata Motors is trading flat at Rs 411.2.

 

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Market Update: Nifty and Sensex Holds the Initial Gains

The Sensex and Nifty are successfully holding up the initial gains of the market with each trading close to 0.5 percent higher. For Nifty, the 10300 level has been the important level for the market and buyers are likely to take this market forward until 10400 level which is a bit resistive. In the option chain for Nifty, the 10400 CE  and 10200 PE are the most active, indicating the near term range of the market.

Stocks which are most active in today’s session are Unitech which is up by 15 percent after the government took the management control of the company as recommended by NCLT, UCAL Fuel got locked at 20 percent upper circuit on strong Q2 profit, ABB, EICHER Motors, SBIN, AXIS Bank, Bharti Airtel, ITC. Stocks which are losing in this market are Adani Port, Hindalco, Gail, NTPC, Infy, Asian Paints.

The India VIX has surged by 2.4 percent and is at 14.00 level indicating some amount of fear in the market. The NSE Advance-Decline ratio is at 1080 advances against 538 declines and 379 unchanged.

At 10:42 AM, Nifty is trading 0.4 percent higher at 10305 level and Sensex is at 33384 level, up by 0.4 percent. The market ahead for the day will be volatile and close near its opening level or around 10250 level.

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Bulls To Look Out For The Day : Provogue India, Linc Pen, Hinduja Ventures, Repro India & Ausom

Indian market today morning has taken a stable uptrend movement across major stocks and indices. Nifty index opened for the day above 10300 point level and has maintained uptrend momentum supported by bullish performance from Media, FMCG & Pharma sector stocks. Aside from top nifty stocks , these stocks are expected to trade uptrend across the day. The stocks and their current change in value are:

  1. Provogue India Ltd – 20% NSE / 19.90% BSE
  2. Linc Pen & Plastics Ltd – 16.18% NSE / 15.99% BSE
  3. Hinduja Ventures Ltd – 10.26% NSE / 10.50% BSE
  4. Repro India Ltd – 14.12% NSE / 14.04% BSE
  5. Ausom Enterprise Ltd – 12.94% NSE / 11.76% BSE

 

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Global Markets Off To Positive Start For The Week Amid Optimism About Global Growth

Global markets on monday opened on positive note on major indices across time zone amid optimism about global growth after the strong U.S payrolls data on Friday. China’s trading activity accelerated last month after slowing in October in an encouraging sign for the world’s second-biggest economy as visible from latest trade balance data released last week. US dollar rose to one-month top against Japanese Yen , having seen 1.2% boost on uptrend last week. The dollar index which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was steady near a three-week high.

US stocks on friday closed on positive note with major indices NASDAQ, S&P 500 and DOW 30 seeing 0.40%, 0.55% & 0.49% increase in value on positive payroll data. Similarly UK & European indices FTSE 100 & EUROSTOXX 50 closed with 1% & 0.63% increase in value as UK Prime Minister Theresa May managed to secure an initial agreement on Friday to move Brexit talks to a second phase.

With Bank Of Japan’s tankan survey of corporate sentiment indicating confidence among big manufacturers at decade high and business survey index (BSI) data at 9.7 up from plus 9.4 in July-September time frame the market is optimistic about momentum of local economic growth. This boost in growth of economy is strongly supported by sales and profit from Automobile sectors and electronic companies who manufacture spares and chips ( processors and sensors ) for smartphones. Major Asian indices NIKKEI 225, HANG SENG & FTSE STI are trading with 0.38%, 0.48% & 0.61% increase in value respectively.

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Indian Market Opens Bullish For The Week On Positive Cues From Allied Markets

Indian market today opened uptrend on both its major indices. Both Nifty & Sensex rose over 40% within first fifteen minutes of trading session. Nifty on friday closed at 10265.65 and this uptrend momentum has continued for third consecutive session today. Nifty and Sensex are expected to climb new record high’s this month with some investors on positive opinion for possibility of Nifty reaching as high as 10530. Both Nifty and Sensex were trading positive during pre-open market session.

Nifty futures in Singapore exchange traded uptrend ahead of Indian trading hours indicating positive momentum for the day. Nifty futures in international market hit as high as 10331 ahead of Indian market hours indicating possibility of first level of resistance for Nifty 50 index at 10330 to 10335 point range and support level at 10200 respectively. Bullish influence for today’s market momentum is expected to come from Media, Realty & Automobile sectors stocks.

 

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Nifty Weekly Analysis for the Week of December 11

The Nifty index managed to turn around the basic negative pressure in the market in last four trading session with a closing above 10250 level which is a very positive sign for the traders. It experienced a strong support at the 10000 level from where it reversed its trend. On the weekly chart, it has formed a hammer like a candle indicating of upcoming bullish pressure in the market.

The 10400 level will be the strong resistance for Nifty with 10000 will act as a floor of this market. The RSI and stochastic are moving higher from the oversold territory indicating a bullish pressure in the market.

The week ahead will be a lot more volatile as the political pitch increases ahead of the last round of voting in poll-bound Gujarat and ahead of its result on December 18th. A majority to the current ruling government will likely to send this market above 10400 level and if it fails, the market will react violently. The other factor which will affect the market in this week’s session will be the Inflation data and Trade balance for November, Industrial Production data for October. Other major global factors which will affect the market will be the FOMC decision on rate hike coming from the US.

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